10.06.2012

October 6, 2012

Horrendous whiff on the Super Play last Sunday, when, in very condescending fashion, we lectured bookmakers for letting the Arizona-Miami line drop from +6.5 to +4 just before kick, which we said was six points off. As the three loyal readers of The Playhouse can tell you, this space has very little tolerance for keen insight or clever observations.

Though the Cardinals won outright in overtime, 24-21, on a Jay Feely 46-yard field goal, under no circumstances should they have been a 10-point favorite over the Dolphins. Not with their almost immeasurable issues on the offensive line, which has yielded 17 sacks over the last two games, tying a rather pathetic NFL record. Considering, however, that not two months ago, we wrote: "Mike Glennon is perhaps the best quarterback in the country," what else do you expect?

Speaking of horrible predictions, our baseball forecast from late March wasn't exactly Kreskin-like. We not only had Justin Upton winning the National League MVP, but we predicted an Angels-Marlins World Series. From a betting perspective, we weren't much better, losing badly on both of our season over/under win totals (Reds under 87.5 and D'Backs over 86.5). Additionally, after watching the A's play their season opener in Japan against the Mariners, we basically insinuated that MLB should sever their affiliation with Oakland in favor of the St. Paul Saints. As that douchebag in that nauseating new Corona commericial says, "Crushed it."

A couple thoughts/stats before we get to the Super Play of the Day...

We're not exactly breaking new ground here, but Major League Baseball's preposterous one-game playoff format does a tremendous disservice to the integrity of the 162-game regular season. That MLB execs have decided this is good idea, however, is as unsurprising as it is ridiculous. This, of course, is the only professional sport that has shunned the expanded use of instant replay and instead relies on the 'human element,' which as we saw last night proves itself to be all too human all too often.

Even with the expanded format, baseball only qualifies 33 percent of its teams to the postseason. The NBA and NHL by comparison each qualify 53 percent of its teams, while the NFL allows 37.5 percent of its teams in. It's not that hard, baseball: Revert back to a 154-game schedule, play a best-of-three wild card round starting the day after the season ends, with the team with the best record hosting all three games if necessary, and precede from there.

We'd argue that identifying the better team even in a seven-game series is difficult. In one game, it's impossible, and it makes a total mockery of the regular season -- and in the end, the sport.

GameDay needs more 'I'm Asian' signs and less Desmond Howard, who today showed himself to be less knowledgeable than Darius Rucker. Much less...

Courtesy of David Payne Purdum, Northwestern, San Jose State, Western Kentucky and Fresno State are still perfect ATS as we head into October. Only two teams -- Arkansas, not surprisingly, and Virginia -- have yet to cover a spread...

Only one team ranked in the preseason top 10 -- South Carolina -- has winning record ATS, according to Andrew Lange of Sportsmemo Radio...

Posting a screen shot of the Tweet of the Week has been tabled today due to time constraints, but Wagerminds has won again, tweeting Monday night: "There are two too many Ryan brothers."...

A win $20 money line parlay on North Carolina State, Washington and Kansas would pay $34,910.03...


Super Play of the Day

Oregon St -15.5


other plays

Florida +2.5
Miami +14




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